Best College Game To Beat The Spread

Best College Game To Beat The Spread




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Best College Game To Beat The Spread

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9/1/22




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After a Week 0 appetizer over the weekend, we’re just two days away from the “real” kickoff of this college football season, which includes some of the biggest Week 1 matchups we’ve seen in years. But those aren’t the only big games you can bet right now.
For the speculative bettors, you can bet on look-ahead lines at FanDuel , which is dealing early odds on nearly every marquee matchup through the entire season. Here are the lines for 10 games you should have circled on your calendar, and our early lean on each:


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This line was Alabama -14.5 just a few months ago, but bettors have piled onto the favored Crimson Tide in a rare road test against an elite non-conference opponent. A cursory look at least year’s records suggest a blowout here, but Texas lost five games by one score and boast elite offensive talent with former top QB prospect Quinn Ewers and Heisman dark-horse back Bijan Robinson. Don’t write off the Longhorns just yet.
Kentucky hasn’t beaten Florida in consecutive seasons since 1977, when Wildcats coach Mark Stoops was just 10 years old. His team is all grown up now, beating the Gators a year ago and entering this year ranked in the preseason top 25 for the first time since 1978. It’s a mammoth task winning in The Swamp, but Kentucky is the better team on paper and deserves more respect here.
While we like the Longhorns’ chances of keeping it close at home against Alabama, this is a different story in the Red River Showdown, which has gone Oklahoma’s way four straight times and 10 of the last 13 seasons. In a game priced as a virtual coin flip, I’ll happily bet on Sooners head coach Brett Venable scheming up trouble for Ewers and leading the more talented side to yet another win in this rivalry.
From one Texas showdown to another, Alabama has no shortage of marquee matchups this year. The difference between those two? This one is at home, where the Crimson Tide are 89-5 since 2008 with a 9-3 record against the spread over the last two seasons. Don’t think that Nick Saban and co. have forgotten about that loss in College Station last year, either. This one is personal.
There’s something brewing in Utah, where coach Kyle Whittingham returns 17 starters from a group that won the conference in 2021 and looked like one of the best teams in the country. Conversely, USC still has work to do under new coach Lincoln Riley and new quarterback Caleb Williams. This feels like a statement win for the Utes at home.
This line has already moved substantially in Ohio State’s favor, as bettors aren’t buying a bounce-back year for Penn State. I’m not sure I am, either. Sure, this defense should look similar to those great units of years past, but there are simply too many question marks on offense to keep pace with an otherworldly Buckeyes attack. Grab the road favorites before this crosses over the key number of 14.
Are we sure the right team is favored here? Both of these teams enter the year ranked in the top five, but the Fighting Irish are nearly impossible to beat at home, having won 30 of their last 31 in South Bend. That includes that thrilling double-overtime win over Clemson in 2020 in an eerily similar spot to this one. I have faith in Marcus Freeman’s defense to keep this one tight, if not win outright.
It’s a new era for Oregon football under coach Dan Lanning, whose defense at Georgia was the catalyst for that team’s title run. Talent has rarely been the issue in Eugene, and it won’t be this year, either, with a dominant O-line and a nasty front seven. This could be a good game to target early, as we don’t know how Washington’s offense will look with transfer quarterback Michael Penix Jr. – if he’s still healthy by November.
We’ve been waiting for Miami football to be “back” for the better part of two decades. Could this finally be the year? New head coach Mario Cristobal seems like the right man for the job, but he isn’t exactly an in-game wizard based on his time at Oregon, and he won’t catch any breaks against a Clemson team that’s won the last three games in this series by a combined 118 points. The Tigers should take care of business at home.
After losing eight straight in this series ahead of last year’s matchup, Michigan finally bested its rival behind an elite defense and raucous home crowd. Neither will be in effect this year, as the Wolverines will rely on their potent offense to carry the day in Columbus against an improved Buckeyes defense. The bigger mismatch is on the other side, as Heisman favorite CJ Stroud should avenge last year’s loss with a field day against this rebuilding UM front.

Predictions for every college football 2021-22 bowl game against the spread
College football’s 2021-22 bowl season features 42 matchups, and Athlon’s editors are here with picks against the spread (ATS) for every postseason contest. The bowls begin on Dec. 17 and continue with 14 other games before Christmas. The post-Christmas slate starts on Dec. 27 and continues with games every day until Jan. 1. The CFB Playoff takes place on Dec. 31 with Alabama-Cincinnati and Georgia-Michigan, with the title game slated for Jan. 10 in Indianapolis. 
Which teams will cover the spread or beat the odds in all 42 bowl games? Here are Athlon editors' picks (ATS) for every postseason matchup:
Bahamas: Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo
Cure: Northern Illinois vs. Coastal Carolina
New Orleans: Louisiana vs. Marshall
Frisco Football Classic: North Texas vs. Miami (Ohio)
Camellia: Georgia State vs. Ball State
First Responder: Air Force vs. Louisville
Liberty: Miss. State. vs. Texas Tech
Pinstripe: Maryland vs. Virginia Tech
Duke's Mayo: North Carolina vs. South Carolina
Peach: Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State
Las Vegas: Wisconsin vs. Arizona State
Cotton (CFP Semifinal): Cincinnati vs. Alabama
Orange (CFP Semifinal): Georgia vs. Michigan
Citrus: Oklahoma State vs. Notre Dame

Bill Bender is a national college football writer for The Sporting News.



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Conference championship weekend is here with 10 games to close out the 2021 college football regular season. 
The SEC championship game is the main event. No. 1 Georgia takes on No. 4 Alabama in another clash between programs with national championship hopes. This is the fourth top-10 showdown between the teams since 2018. 
There is more intrigue. No. 5 Oklahoma State and No. 9 Baylor meet in the Big 12 championship, and the Cowboys still have an outside shot to get in. No. 3 Cincinnati could become the first from the Group of 5 to make the CFP, but they have to win the AAC championship against No. 16 Houston to do it. 
No. 2 Michigan will close the night with a chance to make the playoff for the first time, but it must get through No. 15 Iowa in the Big Ten championship game first. 
Each week Sporting News made picks against the spread for every Top 25 matchup. A look at our track record: 
With that in mind, a look at this week's conference championship picks: 
The Hilltoppers are on a seven-game win streak, and their last loss was a 52-46 shootout against the Roadrunners on Oct. 9. UTSA had its perfect season ruined by North Texas last week, but the Roadrunners are at home. Western Kentucky quarterback Bailey Zappe adds to an FBS-best total of 52 TD passes, and the Hilltoppers get revenge in another Conference-USA shootout. 
Pick: Western Kentucky wins 42-38 and COVERS the spread. 
Didn't we just watch this? Utah beat Oregon 38-7 at home on Nov. 20. The Utes have won five in a row, and now the Ducks get a rematch on a neutral site. Utah rushed for 208 yards and dominated time of possession, but in the rematch Oregon will make adjustments in its running game. Anthony Brown plays better in the Pac-12 championship game, and the Ducks win without feeling the pressure to make the Playoff. 
Pick: Oregon wins 30-27 in an UPSET. 
The Golden Flashes won four of their past five games to get to the MAC championship game, and they beat the Huskies in a 52-47 shootout on Nov. 3. Michigan State transfer Rocky Lombardi keeps the Huskies in the game, but the Golden Flashes rally behind a fourth-quarter game-winning drive by Dustin Crum. Kent State wins its first MAC championship since 1972. 
Pick: Kent State wins 41-38 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. 
The Cowboys beat the Bears 24-14 on Oct. 2, and now Oklahoma State can make a CFP case with a sweep of the Bears in a second straight top-10 matchup. Oklahoma State is 9-3 ATS. Jaylen Warren had 125 yards and two TDs in the first meeting, and that helped offset Spencer Sanders’ three interceptions. 
Pick: Oklahoma State wins 30-23 and COVERS the spread. 
Brady Hoke can lead the Aztecs to a Mountain West Conference championship and slow down a Utah State offense that averages 457.9 yards per game with Logan Bonner. The Aztecs should be able to slow that down a bit and they win their first conference championship since 2016. 
Pick: San Diego State wins 28-24 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. 
Louisiana coach Billy Napier will try to leave for Florida on a good note in the Sun Belt championship game.The Ragin’ Cajuns hammered Appalachian State 41-13 on Oct. 12, but the Mountaineers have covered in five of their past six victories. Appalachian State win this time. 
Pick: Appalachian State wins 30-24 and COVERS the spread. 
This is Georgia’s chance to knock the Crimson Tide out in the SEC championship game, and perhaps the College Football Playoff. The Bulldogs allowed just 6.9 points per game in the regular season, but the Crimson Tide have won the past six meetings. Alabama has the best offense Georgia has faced, and Bryce Young could have a Heisman moment here. This just feels like the year when the Bulldogs break through. 
Pick: Georgia wins 27-22 and FAILS TO COVER the spread.
The Bearcats can virtually clinch a Playoff spot with a victory against the Cougars, and this should be a good matchup. Houston has scored at least 30 points in eight straight games, and they will test the Bearcats’ defense. Cincinnati, however, has covered the past two weeks and looks dialed in. The Bearcats have won the past two meetings by an average of 17.5 points per game. 
Pick: Cincinnati wins 34-21 and COVERS the spread. 
The ACC championship game won't be a playoff spot, but it will be an entertaining matchup between two of the top-10 passers in the FBS. Pitt's Kenny Pickett (4,066 yards, 40 TDs, 7 INTs) and Wake Forest's Sam Hartman (3,711 yards, 34 TDs, 10 INTs). The Panthers have been favored in every game this season and are 9-3 ATS. 
Pick: Pitt wins 38-33 and COVERS the spread. 
The Wolverines finally cleared the Ohio State hurdle and will carry a ton of momentum into the Big Ten championship in Indianapolis. That said, Iowa poses an interesting challenge with its physical style on both sides. Kirk Ferentz is 1-1 in two head-to-head matchups against Jim Harbaugh, and both games were old-school slugfests. Michigan will stay patient on offense, however, and the Hawkeyes will be out of their comfort zone in the second half. Michigan clinches its first playoff berth. 
Pick: Michigan wins 27-19 but FAILS TO COVER the spread.

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Here you will find our free college football picks for every game of the 2022/23 season including our college football picks against the spread, straight-up, money line picks and totals picks (over/under). Our data-devouring experts find you the best betting trends and a lot more to bring you expert NCAAF picks each week.
College football picks for the 2022/23 season. Our college football experts crunch the numbers, look through the injury reports, and betting trends, and data to find the best college football picks every week of the season. Check out this week’s NCAAF picks right now.
With so many conferences and hundreds of matches played every weekend, the biggest test with any college football picks is unearthing those hidden gems. Here at Pickswise, that is exactly what we do. By focusing on the Power 5 conferences and the Top-25 teams, along with a select number of other matches, our experts are able to focus on the key games, and leave no stone unturned in our research. Pickswise is the home of free NCAAF picks, and we break down all of today’s college football action, with each pick coming with accompanying analysis, including all of the key stats, trends, and reasons for our pick.
Be sure to check back each week during the season for all of our top college football picks today.
The most popular college football pick is against the spread (ATS). Against the spread betting isn’t about picking a winner of the football game, it’s about picking the team who will cover the spread.
Let’s say you bet your money that Team A covers the spread (wins by a certain amount of points), Michigan State -6.5 for example. Or that Team B will cover the spread (keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect), Ohio State +6.5. If Michigan State beat Ohio State 30-27, then Ohio State covers the spread, and underdog backers are cashing tickets with +6.5 on Ohio State.
Against the spread betting is extremely popular in football and that’s one of the main reasons why it’s one of the most popular college football picks on our site.
At Pickswise we cover all of the Power Five NCAA football today, with full game previews, picks, and betting analysis brought
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