Benjamin Cowen: Bitcoin: Preparing for the Next Leg Down

Benjamin Cowen: Bitcoin: Preparing for the Next Leg Down

Hours of content. Minutes of clarity

πŸ“Ί Benjamin Cowen

Bitcoin: Preparing for the Next Leg Down

🏷 Analysis of Bitcoin's macroeconomic cycle projecting an imminent drop based on the history of 'midterm years'. | ⏱ 17 min


The Psychology of Exhaustion and the False Bottom

"Bear markets are mentally exhausting." With this brutally honest premise, macroeconomic analyst Benjamin Cowen establishes the harsh reality facing Bitcoin investors. The fatigue does not come from straight-line drops, but from a psychological torture designed by the market itself: we spend much more time slowly grinding up on false hopes than falling. When the structure finally breaks, it does so at breakneck speed.

Today, the crypto ecosystem is submerged in a sea of optimistic narratives. The apparent resilience of Bitcoin above the $60,000 level is celebrated, a psychological support that many consider the definitive bottom of this cycle. However, zooming out the chart and applying a purely statistical and historical framework, Cowen's conclusion is diametrically opposed and chilling: we are not facing the start of a new bull market, but trapped in a classic counter-trend rally within the treacherous "Midterm Year" of Bitcoin's 4-year


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