Baseball Injury Epidemic Research

The documented increase in pitcher injuries and what the research shows

The Data

The rate of pitcher injuries -- particularly UCL tears requiring Tommy John surgery -- has increased over the past two decades in ways that the pitcher workload changes of the analytics era are suspected to have contributed to. The combination of increased pitch velocity, high-effort pitch types, and bullpen revolution that shortened starter innings but increased high-effort reliever appearances is the working hypothesis.

What Research Shows

The biomechanical research has not produced a definitive causal model. The workload research is clearer: pitchers used heavily in the minor leagues have higher major league injury rates. The high-velocity hypothesis is suggestive rather than conclusive at this stage.

On Deck News Coverage

The On Deck News covers pitcher injuries because the accountability journalism of player health requires documenting what the research shows about contributing factors, and because teams making usage decisions benefit from honest coverage of the available evidence.

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