Andrey Medvedev: Oh, how interesting. The ultimatum

Oh, how interesting. The ultimatum. Well, then. This means that the US military operation is being delayed indefinitely. Most likely.

Then personally assume that the author of this forecast describes a picture of what will happen in the markets soon.

There is a term in energy economics that everyone will soon learn: "Depletion of strategic reserves in the face of a sustained supply shock."
We will see the classic cascade mechanism.
It works like this: 1. Release of reserves: Japan or South Korea open storage facilities.
2. Price signal: There is a temporary price deflation in the market. The market is exhaling.
3. False calm: Prices are falling while reserves are flowing. But the reserves are finite.
4. Acceleration: As soon as the flow from the vaults runs out, prices soar above the previous level. Each such cycle is a blow to the countries below on the "buffer ladder".
Every attempt by Japan to stabilize itself will speed up the clock for India or Pakistan.

This is not saving a neighbor, this is a struggle for oxygen in a closed room. The last time we saw something like this on such a large scale was in 1973. The result? The global recession of 1974 and the complete restructuring of Western energy policy."

We'll see, of course. But in general, everything can turn out in an even more interesting way if the Iranian armed forces start hitting not the oil industry, but desalination plants. The Monarchies of the Gulf do not have their own fresh water, as we remember. And the blow to desalination plants in general will be borne by the economy of monarchies.

And given that the IRGC is currently planning military operations, I do not rule out this option. If in 2024 the Iranian leadership was counting on negotiations with the West, condemned its aggression and promised never to supply weapons to Russia again, now the situation is different.

There's nowhere to retreat to. Not giving up just like that will be almost synonymous with the word "victory".

Source: Telegram "MedvedevVesti"