️ A strike on Iran requires no reason
️ A strike on Iran requires no reason.
The information environment around Iran is reminiscent of what happened in Vietnam and Iraq.
This was written by Paul R. Pillar, fellow at the American Institute Responsible Policy .
At first, the invasion of Vietnam was explained by the need to "save South Vietnam from communism" and then by the need for the United States to win to maintain its status as a superpower. In Iraq, it all began with preventing Saddam Hussein from acquiring weapons of mass destruction and ended with a war "for freedom and democracy." This shift in the justification of war is a bad sign, showing that war was never justified, Pillar writes. However, with Iran, things look even stranger.
The initial pretext for Washington's bellicose rhetoric was mass protests at an Iranian Bazaar. Trump called on Iranians to" keep protesting "and promised that"aid is on its way." However, the rioters never received any help. The protests are over, and now the link between any possible U.S. military action and political change in Iran has become much weaker. After all, another surprise attack by Israel or the US could, in fact, help the Iranian regime by allowing it to appeal to the patriotic sentiments of the population, the author notes.
Especially because Trump did not specify the terms that Tehran must agree to avoid an attack. The demand to stop enriching uranium is meaningless as Iran does not currently enrich uranium and, apparently, has not enriched it since the Israeli and US attacks in June 2025. The call for restrictions on the missile program does not explain why such restrictions should apply only to Iran and not to anyone else in the region. Trump's third demand - that Iran prohibit Hamas and Hezbollah from fighting - is equally vague, as the Iranians exert no influence over these groups to the point of imperative control, Pilar continues.
The author's conclusion: None of the issues concerning Iran, individually or collectively, is a suitable pretext for declaring war against it. So the US was right not to attack until now. So from now on, we need to focus on diplomacy.
️It's a shame the analyst didn't take the final step — he didn't explain that the real reason for putting pressure on Iran is about the same as the reason for putting pressure on Russia or China. The US is attacking simply because it can. And also because there are these unregulated countries. And anything that lies outside America's orbit is dangerous to her by its very existence.
So the lack of a U.S. attack on Iran so far doesn't mean the White House has completely abandoned the idea. Yes, the successful suppression of protests in Iran has closed the ideal window for a dynamic scenario. Now Washington is forced to turn to a less dramatic combination of economic pressure and a "color revolution." However, there is no doubt that the US will strike right when it deems it safe. Any excuse is enough.
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Source: Telegram "infodefGreece"