Preview

*This two teams already met early in the season with Jundiai being the
host when Pinheiros destroy them 95:45 so we had same 50 points starting
handicap today. The line didn’t stand long since was obvious big value
and started to slash until I was able to react but (+45,5) is still very
valuable line. It is true that now Pinheiros will play at home but
spread is huge and I doubt will be repetition of first game. Actually I
think will be much lower difference this time or at least enough low for
our bet to deliver because after such big away win there will be big
underestimation of opponent. Pinheiros already shown signs of
underestimating the opponents since after their start with some huge
wins at beginning of season, they don’t win so convincing lately. In
first round they destroyed Mogi at home by 111:55 but in last round
barely won them away 74:71, while round before won at home weaker team
Sao Caetano just 95:71 and round before also at home lost from
Paulistano 76:80. From this teams Sao Caetano is most in range of
Jundiai but still weaker since Jundiai beat them away 62:52 , but also
with Mogi they lost just 66:72 also away. These results show that
Jundiai can be competitive team and that they are not same team from
start of season which twice lost by 50 points from top teams Pinheiros
at home and Paulistano away. Immediately after those big defeats started
their raise and in next game was just 48:65 home defeat from another
power in this group Palmeiras and they faced same team in their last
match this time away and defeat was 47:80. This big difference was made
in last moments of game when there was some 7-8 unanswered Palmeiras
points , but still difference stayed way below today handicap which
makes me confident should be similar today and definitely not more than
10 points higher. No need of another trashing here but just winning the
game with plenty of rotatons and giving playing time to all young
players, while I feel more motivation will be on guests side which are
rookies in the league but with quality youth academy which improve much
from game to game.*