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Uncertain voters one month before the referendum: Close to every third Dane does not know whether to vote yes or no | Defense reservation | DR A new opinion poll conducted by Epinion also shows that a 'yes' to abolishing the defense reservation at present seems to have the greatest support in the population. From 1 June, we Danes need to answer a question that is usually relatively simple: Yes or no? But when it comes to whether Denmark should abolish the defense reservation or not, the choice between the two short words can be differently complicated In a new one, which Epinion has prepared for and the Althing, 29 percent of Danes answer that they currently do not know where to put the cross. One month before the vote, close to every third Dane is in doubt. , and in connection with around, the doubt is actually 'business as usual'.It says Derek Beach, who is a professor at Aarhus University and leading expert on and .- It is a completely classic scenario that a month before the vote we still see many , which is not ready to take a position yet. and has not really started, and it is a big part of getting the voters started to get acquainted with the substance, he says and continues.- It is very common that a large proportion of voters first decide in the last few weeks - and in the end they almost always become the tongue in cheek, he says. © Ritzau ScanpixOn June 1, voters must take a stand on the Danish defense reservation. We do not participate in EU military operations, do not fund them or provide soldiers or weapons. The reservation also means that we do not have the right to vote in the Council of Ministers when dealing with defense policy. about defense policy in the EU. Source: Folketinget.dk If you dive a little deeper into the group of doubters, there is a relatively large difference in how many you find among women and men, respectively. 36 percent of those women answered ‘do not know’ to the question of whether they wanted to abolish the reservation. Among the men, only 21 percent answered the same. The difference between the two sexes is difficult to explain in depth, but there is one factor that largely comes into play, says Derek Beach. - We have seen a similar picture several times before , when we get the results in from the early ones. Women are much more honest when it comes to telling about their doubts, while men are more likely to choose one of the two, even though they are not really 100 percent sure. So it's not because women generally have less strong attitudes or defensive reservations that it looks the way it does. They just wait more often to respond until they are safe, he says. Another group that boils down strongly to doubts is the 18-34-year-olds. Here, a third answer either 'do not know' or 'are in doubt'. And with the young people, something completely different applies when it comes to explaining the doubt, explains Derek Beach. - A large part of the young people have never tried to vote for a reservation before. This means that they need even more input, debate and knowledge on the subject, so that they can better form an attitude and understand how things are connected. Therefore, I can well understand that the younger group of voters is more in doubt at the moment, he says. Precisely the younger target group is the primary goal for someone that the organization New Europe starts next week. with flyers, videos and debate meetings, the members will start the fight next week to engage the young voters and get sent to the light board with those who have to vote. we try to understand the thoughts and concerns of young people about both a yes and a no. At the same time, we know that we cannot face all young people before 1 June, so we will also be present at social events. This is what Julie Rosenkilde, head of the secretariat for New Europe, says. The organization works daily for to play a central role in creating a more sustainable world - but that does not mean that the goal of the future is to get the young voters to put the cross in a certain place, Julie Rosenkilde emphasizes. - It is about giving the young a chance to make an informed and reflective choice. And then of course to get as many young people as possible to vote and use theirs, she says. In addition to the large number of doubters, there are also other results that are worth mentioning in connection with the new survey. Despite a bumpy start on the yes campaign, where the wording of, among other things, has stolen focus, a majority of Danes continue to vote 'yes' - and thus abolish the defense reservation.39 percent will, according to the new, answer yes if they were to vote tomorrow, while 26 percent would answer no. They are either doubters, people who do not intend to vote or vote blank. But at the moment, one must take the lead with a pinch of salt, Derek Beach emphasizes. - In the beginning, it often shows that the amount of yes-voters is greatest. This has also been the case with the previous ones. has the server right in terms of coming up with a narrative about the vote, and that affects many voters to begin with. At the same time, we also know that part of that group of voters will have doubts or change their minds later on, he says. If, on the other hand, you look at the no-voters, the story is different, he says. - All our experience from the past shows that the no-voters in the past do not move at all. They vote no. Therefore, it is very likely that the two sides will get much closer to each other in the coming weeks, because some yes-voters jump off, while some of the doubters also decide on a no, he says. first back in March, the no-side has slowly grown larger, while the yes-side has the same support in the new poll as it had in a month ago. Looking at in 2000 and 2015, where we voted on and the legal reservation respectively , the yes side also led in to start with - but the result of the vote was both times a no.And that pattern can in no way be written off to repeat itself when we have to vote on the defense reservation it. June 1, says Derek Beach.-The many voters who are in doubt right now are going to be completely in favor of whether we end up getting a yes or a no. Right now it may seem that the yes side has the most wind in the sails, but there is nothing for me to see that indicates that it will be different than in 2015 with the legal reservation, he says and continues. - The ball is of course round, but I certainly believe that in the end it can be a no to abolish the defense reservation when the votes are counted. May at 19:30 - 21:00 on DR1, where Kåre Quist invites 13 party leaders to a debate.